MACHINE LEARNING APPROACHES TO DEFAULT PREDICTION IN THE AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR

Autores/as

  • Alisson Ribeiro da Silva Universidade Católica de Brasília
  • Paulo Fernando Marschner Universidade Católica de Brasília
  • Eduardo Amadeu Dutra Moresi Universidade Católica de Brasília

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25112/rgd.v23i1.4572

Palabras clave:

Machine learning, Default prediction, Automotive sector

Resumen

The objective of this research was to conduct a bibliometric analysis of the international literature on the use of machine learning techniques for default prediction, with a focus on the automotive sector. A total of 1.026 documents published between 2010 and 2025 in the Scopus database were examined, aiming to identify thematic clusters, emerging trends, and methodological challenges. The results indicate a rapidly consolidating scientific field, characterized by international expansion, thematic diversification, and methodological maturity. The evidence is organized into four main axes: (i) the consolidation of machine learning as the central approach in credit risk modeling, gradually replacing traditional statistical methods; (ii) methodological expansion, with emphasis on neural networks, reinforcement learning, and ensemble models; (iii) growing appreciation for algorithmic interpretability and transparency; and (iv) integration of multiple data sources, combining financial, textual, and technological information. Moreover, the study identified a lack of systematic investigations into the application of machine learning models to default prediction specifically within the automotive sector, revealing a relevant gap in the literature. The implications of these findings include the construction of a structured overview of key trends, authors, and methodologies, providing theoretical and empirical insights to advance future research and improve predictive credit risk models.

Biografía del autor/a

Alisson Ribeiro da Silva, Universidade Católica de Brasília

Mestrando em Governança, Tecnologia e Inovação pela Universidade Católica de Brasília (Brasília/Brasil). Especialista em Ciências de Dados e Inteligência Artificial pelo Centro Universitário Internacional UNINTER (Curitiba/Brasil).  E-mail: alisson1504@gmail.com.

Paulo Fernando Marschner, Universidade Católica de Brasília

Doutor em Administração pela Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (Santa Maria/Brasil). Professor na Universidade Católica de Brasília (Brasília/Brasil). E-mail: paulo.marschner@p.ucb.br.

Eduardo Amadeu Dutra Moresi, Universidade Católica de Brasília

Doutor em Ciências da Informação pela Universidade de Brasília (Brasília/Brasil). Professor na Universidade Católica de Brasília (Brasília/Brasil). E-mail: moresi@p.ucb.br.

Publicado

2026-08-26

Cómo citar

Silva, A. R. da, Marschner, P. F., & Moresi, E. A. D. (2026). MACHINE LEARNING APPROACHES TO DEFAULT PREDICTION IN THE AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR. Revista Gestão E Desenvolvimento, 23(1), 29–56. https://doi.org/10.25112/rgd.v23i1.4572

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